Augury
001 / IX · Belief cartography · Live

You have an opinion. Atlas finds the market.

Type a hunch: “Fed cuts rates in June,” “Bitcoin above $200K,” “Trump indicted by April.” Atlas searches every live Polymarket market and surfaces the ones that let you back it.

Try:
New here? 90-second explainer159 live markets · $2,642,147 backed
Flagged right now · 14 markets that may be off

Where the crowd might be wrong right now.

Atlas runs four checks on every live market: deadline distance, volume spikes, related-market disagreement, and what our most accurate users are doing. Each card below tells you which one fired, in one sentence.

Resolves this week

Closing soon

Markets whose answer comes in within 7 days. The crowd has had time to settle, but a surprise still pays.

+ 2 more in this shelf

Long-horizon, big volume

Bets on the far future

Markets resolving 6+ months out where money is still flowing. The further out the question, the more the crowd is guessing, and the more room to disagree.

Where the money is

Biggest pools

The markets with the most money already backed. When one of these drifts from fair value, it's worth a real position.

+ 2 more in this shelf

High 24-hour volume

Money rushing in right now

Markets where today's trading volume is way out of line with the resting pool. Something is repricing, so get in before the crowd settles.

+ 2 more in this shelf

Underdog territory

Longshots ($1 → $20+ if they hit)

Markets priced under 7%. The crowd thinks each is very unlikely. If you think one is right, the payback is large.

+ 2 more in this shelf

By topic · Crypto

Inside Crypto

Pick a topic where you already have an edge. The best contrarian bets come from domains you know better than the average trader.

By topic · Politics

Inside Politics

Pick a topic where you already have an edge. The best contrarian bets come from domains you know better than the average trader.

By topic · Sports

Inside Sports

Pick a topic where you already have an edge. The best contrarian bets come from domains you know better than the average trader.

By topic · Geopolitics

Inside Geopolitics

Pick a topic where you already have an edge. The best contrarian bets come from domains you know better than the average trader.

Want every flagged market in one sortable feed, with the four checks and inline evidence?

Open the wire
005 · Read

Wondering what analysts are writing about these markets? Read pairs news articles with live Polymarket prices in the margin.

Read the latest analysis
007 · Pools · Conviction coordination

Found a market you believe in? Find the people who agree.

Pools matches you to people whose worldview aligns with yours, across macro, crypto, politics, and AI. Each member's capital stays in their own wallet.

Take the worldview survey
006 · Cal · Probability calendar

Found a market? See when it resolves on your calendar.

Cal overlays live market probabilities on your Google Calendar events. Connect once. Every relevant event gets a probability annotation, plus a one-shot alert when it crosses your threshold.

Open Cal