The world prices
what happens next.
On Polymarket, hundreds of thousands of people stake real money on what's going to happen. The price that emerges is the world's most honest probability. 38¢ means 38% likely. Augury is nine tools for reading that signal. Whether you trade or not.
Real money, real beliefs
People stake real money on everything happening in the world: elections, rate decisions, AI milestones, wars. The price is what everyone collectively believes will happen.
A price is a probability
38¢ on 'Will the Fed cut in June?' means 38% likely, in the judgment of everyone with money on the line. More honest than polls. Verifiably right or wrong when it resolves.
Nine ways to read it
Most people scroll Polymarket for trades. Augury reads the same signal for your news, your calendar, your opinions, your fears, your forecasting practice, and the people who think like you.
Nine tools, one identity.
Atlas
The world's beliefs, searchable.
Type any belief or worry. Atlas reads every live market through it and surfaces where the world's real-money consensus looks surprising.
OpenReceipts
The world's first verifiable forecaster identity.
Your Polymarket trades are already public. Receipts reads them as a track record of your accuracy, signed and verifiable by anyone.
OpenHedge
Insurance against the news.
Describe what you're worried about in plain English. Hedge builds a portfolio that pays out when your fear comes true.
OpenDisagree
Your words, priced.
Connect your writing. Disagree shows you, in live prices, where your stated beliefs diverge from the world's judgment.
OpenRead
Journalism, priced.
Paste any article. Read shows the market price beside every claim about the future. Bloomberg writes 'may.' The market says 38¢.
OpenCal
Your schedule, quantified.
Connect your calendar. Every upcoming event with a live market gets the world's real-money probability, attached to your schedule.
OpenPools
Match on conviction, not on identity.
Answer 25 questions. We compute your epistemic fingerprint and match you to people who see the future the way you do.
OpenReplay
Practice the skill nobody teaches.
Forecasting is a skill you can train. Practice on real markets that already resolved, until your forecaster fingerprint emerges.
OpenSpread
Earn from uncertainty, not direction.
Provide liquidity and earn the spread, no opinion required. Spread maps which markets pay makers best and scores them 0 to 100.
OpenAn interface for the future, as if the future were a book.
Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market
Nine standalone apps, one shared identity
Your existing Polymarket wallet. No new account.