LIVE· real Polymarket data · synced 0s ago

Live Polymarket markets, with a one-sentence reason whenever the crowd's odds look off.

Each row is one real Polymarket market. The crowd's "YES" odds are the price column. The crowd gets most markets about right. But on some, Atlas spots a concrete reason the price might be wrong. Pick a flagged row whose reason feels real to you, then back $1 on the side you think the crowd is missing.

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The four checks Atlas runs on every market▾

Is the deadline far away? A market saying "X is 92% likely" is more questionable when X is a year off than next week.
Is money rushing in? When volume spikes, the price is repricing, which means something is changing now.
Do related markets agree? If "GOP wins House" and "GOP wins Senate" imply different odds, one of them is wrong.
Are our best users backing the opposite of the crowd? We track every user's accuracy. When the best are taking the other side, that's a flag.

3 markets·3 flagged·$30K pooled

ATLAS TRACK RECORD · LAST 30 DAYSAtlas is in early test phase. This strip lights up with a live hit rate once enough flagged markets resolve (typically 30+ days out).

Horizon

Cat

MarketCategoryCrowd YESResolvesLiquidityWhy lookTake a side

Politics

83%in 11mo

Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Resolves far in the future, so lots can change

Resolves: 11 months from now, so anything can happen by then

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Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Politics