Every opinion you've published has been making predictions. Now they're priced.
Connect your public writing. Disagree extracts every implicit prediction, matches each to a live Polymarket market, and ranks them by the gap between what you implied and what the world prices.
“Recession before Q4. It's already baked in.”
Read. Match. Confront.
We read what you've published
Connect Twitter, a Substack URL, a blog RSS feed, a Medium handle. We pull your public posts and pick out the predictions you made. Never your DMs or drafts. Your raw posts stay on the platforms.
We match each claim to a market
The Atlas vector index finds the live Polymarket market most aligned with what you wrote. If nothing matches well yet, the claim waits in your library. New markets land every day.
We confront you with the gap
Each claim becomes a card: your quote, the market price, the size of the disagreement, a suggested position scaled to your calibration. We don't recommend. We confront.
See what Disagree feels like first.
A demo profile of a made-up commentator, with real Polymarket matches, real edge numbers, and no account needed. See the format before you decide whether to show us your own writing.
Public writing only. No DMs, no drafts, no surveillance.
Tweet · paste mode
LiveFree. Paste the text of a tweet you made; we extract the claim. Zero API connection.
Substack
LiveFree. Drop your Substack URL and we fetch the RSS feed. No OAuth needed.
Blog · RSS
LiveFree. Any RSS feed works. We pull full post content and run extraction.
Medium
LiveFree. Username-based. Reads your stories via Medium's public feed.
Tweet · auto-ingest
Rolling outPro. OAuth-based: we periodically fetch your new posts hands-off. By waitlist.
Mirror
Rolling outOn-chain writing on Arweave. Reading your publication directly. Rolling out.
Podcast transcripts
Rolling outPublic transcript URLs only. Audio transcription is a later phase.
Unlimited sources, deeper history, signed Forecaster attestation.
Pro is rolling out by waitlist. Dodopayments for USD card; Base for USDC on-chain. Until either rail lands, every feature stays unlocked.
What are analysts writing about these markets?
Read pairs news articles with live Polymarket prices. Every prediction-shaped claim placed beside the market it maps to.
Your disagreements, shared with people who see it the same way.
Disagree surfaces where you and the market disagree. Pools lets you find others with the same conviction and coordinate positions without pooling funds.
You wrote the prediction. Now watch it resolve on your calendar.
Cal overlays live market probabilities on your Google Calendar. The event you predicted shows up with its live probability, and you can set a one-time alert for when it crosses your threshold.
Disagree reads only your public writing. We never read DMs, drafts, private lists, or bookmarks. We never post on your behalf without explicit confirmation. We store extracted claims and their source URLs. Your raw posts stay on the original platforms. You can disconnect any source at any time, and we delete your extracted data within 24 hours. Trades route through Polymarket via builder code, and no real USDC moves unless you explicitly confirm a trade in the unified trade modal.